Scared Straight? Threat and Assimilation of Refugees in Germany

55 Pages Posted: 22 Aug 2022 Last revised: 31 Jan 2023

See all articles by Philipp Jaschke

Philipp Jaschke

Government of the Federal Republic of Germany - Institute for Employment Research (IAB)

Sulin Sardoschau

Humboldt University - Department of Economics

Marco Tabellini

Harvard Business School

Multiple version iconThere are 4 versions of this paper

Date Written: August 2022

Abstract

This paper studies the effects of threat on convergence to local culture and economic assimilation of refugees, exploiting plausibly exogenous variation in their allocation across German regions between 2013 and 2016. We combine novel survey data on cultural preferences and economic outcomes of refugees with corresponding information on locals, and construct a threat index that integrates contemporaneous and historical variables. On average, refugees assimilate both culturally and economically. However, while refugees assigned to more hostile regions converge to local culture more quickly, they do not exhibit faster economic assimilation. Our evidence suggests that refugees exert more assimilation effort in response to local threat, but do not integrate faster because of higher discrimination in more hostile regions.

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Suggested Citation

Jaschke, Philipp and Sardoschau, Sulin and Tabellini, Marco, Scared Straight? Threat and Assimilation of Refugees in Germany (August 2022). NBER Working Paper No. w30381, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4196325 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4196325

Philipp Jaschke (Contact Author)

Government of the Federal Republic of Germany - Institute for Employment Research (IAB) ( email )

Regensburger Str. 104
Nuremberg, 90478
Germany

Sulin Sardoschau

Humboldt University - Department of Economics ( email )

Unter den Linden 6
Berlin, AK Berlin 10099
Germany

HOME PAGE: http://https://sites.google.com/view/sulinsardoschau/home

Marco Tabellini

Harvard Business School ( email )

Soldiers Field Road
Morgan 270C
Boston, MA 02163
United States

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