Comparing Financial Frictions Models of the Business Cycle in Emerging Countries

47 Pages Posted: 19 Sep 2022

See all articles by Sanha Noh

Sanha Noh

Jeonbuk National University

Ingul Baek

Kongju National University

Date Written: September 3, 2022

Abstract

This study estimates a financial friction model and three extensions solved up to the third order using a Bayesian approach, and compare the estimated model implications for business cycles in emerging countries. Our empirical results are as follows: First, we find that adding a country premium shock substitutes for the role of a trend productivity shock in explaining the countercyclical trade balance. Second, the debt elasticity of the country premium and portfolio adjustment costs are interchangeable in generating the downward-sloping autocorrelation function of the trade balance-to-output ratio. Third, a model with both the debt-elastic interest rate and portfolio adjustment costs improves a model with only the debt-elastic interest rate. Regardless of the order of approximation, this model yields consistent estimated results, especially for the relative contribution of transitory and trend shocks to productivity. Lastly, second- and third-order approximations should be considered to capture the asymmetric persistence of the trade balance during boom-and-bust cycles.

Keywords: Emerging economy, Financial frictions, Small open economy model, Nonlinearity

JEL Classification: E32, F43

Suggested Citation

Noh, Sanha and BAEK, INGUL, Comparing Financial Frictions Models of the Business Cycle in Emerging Countries (September 3, 2022). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4208483 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4208483

Sanha Noh

Jeonbuk National University ( email )

567 Baekje-daero, Geumam 1(il)-dong
Deokjin-gu
Jeonju-si
Korea, Republic of (South Korea)

INGUL BAEK (Contact Author)

Kongju National University ( email )

Korea, Republic of (South Korea)

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