Catastrophic Risk, Uncertainty, and Agency Analysis
28 Pages Posted: 14 Sep 2022 Last revised: 8 Nov 2022
Date Written: September 1, 2022
I propose three changes to the governance of federal policymaking: (1) an amendment to Circular A-4 that provides agencies with guidance on evaluating policies implicating catastrophic and existential risks, (2) principles for the assessment and mitigation of those risks, and (3) proposed language to be included in an executive order requiring agencies to report on such risks.
Keywords: cost-benefit analysis, existential risk
JEL Classification: K00
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation