Citizens' Protests: Causes and Consequences. A Research on Regime Change and Revolutionary Entrepreneurs by Bueno De Mesquita

118 Pages Posted: 13 Sep 2022

See all articles by Mario Gilli

Mario Gilli

Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca - Center for Interdisciplinary Studies in Economics, Psychology & Social Sciences (CISEPS); Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca - Department of Economics, Management and Statistics (DEMS)

Filippo Giorgini

Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca - Department of Economics, Management and Statistics (DEMS); Università degli Studi di Milano - Department of Health Sciences

Date Written: September 13, 2022

Abstract

Citizens' political participation in protests is a crucial issue for any political system, whether democratic or autocratic. Political systems have different ways of dealing with citizens' protests, determining the cost and benefit of public dissent, responding to public requests, and allowing a different degree of transparency in public information. Also the social characteristics of a country, such as citizens' diversity and radicalization, matter for citizens' political participation. The aim of this paper is to analyze the causes and consequences of citizens' protests, focusing on how private and public information affect citizens' opinions and political behavior, and how they depend on sociopolitical factors as well as on the political regime. In Regime Change and Revolutionary Entrepreneurs, Bueno de Mesquita proposed a seminal model to study why revolutionary vanguards might use violence to mobilize citizens against a regime. We claim that the model can be used more generally to investigate citizens' protests. We refer to his model to understand citizens' political behavior, studying the relationship between the model's structural parameters and the causes and consequences of citizens' protests, adopting a partially different approach and extending his results.

Keywords: protests, political regimes, sociopolitical variables

JEL Classification: C72, D74, P48

Suggested Citation

Gilli, Mario and Giorgini, Filippo, Citizens' Protests: Causes and Consequences. A Research on Regime Change and Revolutionary Entrepreneurs by Bueno De Mesquita (September 13, 2022). University of Milan Bicocca Department of Economics, Management and Statistics Working Paper No. 504, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4218085

Mario Gilli (Contact Author)

Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca - Center for Interdisciplinary Studies in Economics, Psychology & Social Sciences (CISEPS) ( email )

Piazza dell'Ateneo Nuovo, 1
Milano, 20126
Italy

Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca - Department of Economics, Management and Statistics (DEMS) ( email )

Piazza dell'Ateneo Nuovo, 1
Milan, 20126
Italy

Filippo Giorgini

Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca - Department of Economics, Management and Statistics (DEMS) ( email )

Piazza dell'Ateneo Nuovo, 1
Milan, 20126
Italy

Università degli Studi di Milano - Department of Health Sciences ( email )

Milan
Italy

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