Consumption Response to a Natural Disaster: Evidence of Price and Income Shocks from Chennai Flood
59 Pages Posted: 14 Sep 2022 Last revised: 25 Jul 2023
Abstract
We utilize monthly individual-level financial data and item-level supermarket sales data to study how consumption responds to one of the costliest natural disasters in India. We find that consumption dropped by 11% during the disaster, 65% of which was recovered after the disaster. On average, consumption per capita dropped by $312 per year, which costs about 5% of the GDP. We also show that natural disasters depressed consumption through income shocks instead of price shocks. Consumers smooth consumption using credit card, banks loans and wealth in coping with the shocks.
Keywords: natural disaster, income shocks, price shocks, online shopping, household finance
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