ESG Confusion and Stock Returns: Tackling the Problem of Noise

72 Pages Posted: 17 Oct 2022 Last revised: 3 Jan 2025

See all articles by Florian Berg

Florian Berg

Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management

Julian F Kölbel

University of St. Gallen - School of Finance; MIT Sloan; Swiss Finance Institute

Anna Pavlova

London Business School; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Roberto Rigobon

Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: October 2022

Abstract

Existing measures of ESG (environmental, social, and governance) performance ESG ratings are noisy and, therefore, standard regression estimates of the effect of ESG performance on stock returns are biased. Addressing this as a classical errors-in-variables problem, we develop a noise-correction procedure in which we instrument ESG ratings with ratings of other ESG rating agencies. With this procedure, the median increase in the regression coefficients is a factor of 2.1. The results are similar when we use accounting profitability measures as outcome variables. In simulations, our noise-correction procedure outperforms alternative approaches such as simple averages or principal component analysis.

Suggested Citation

Berg, Florian and Kölbel, Julian and Pavlova, Anna and Rigobon, Roberto, ESG Confusion and Stock Returns: Tackling the Problem of Noise (October 2022). NBER Working Paper No. w30562, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4249591

Florian Berg (Contact Author)

Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management ( email )

100 Main Street
Cambridge, MA 02142
United States

Julian Kölbel

University of St. Gallen - School of Finance ( email )

Unterer Graben 21
St. Gallen, 9000
Switzerland

MIT Sloan ( email )

100 Main Street
Cambridge, MA 02142
United States

Swiss Finance Institute ( email )

c/o University of Geneva
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CH-1211 Geneva 4
Switzerland

Anna Pavlova

London Business School ( email )

Sussex Place
Regent's Park
London, London NW1 4SA
United Kingdom
+44 20 7000 8218 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://https://www.anna-pavlova.co.uk/

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London
United Kingdom

Roberto Rigobon

Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management ( email )

E52-447
Cambridge, MA 02142
United States
617-258-8374 (Phone)
617-258-6855 (Fax)

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