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Measuring the Impact of Intensive Care Unit Strain on Patient Outcomes with the Activity Index: An Observational Nation-Wide Study

23 Pages Posted: 29 Nov 2022

See all articles by David Pilcher

David Pilcher

The Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society (ANZICS) - Centre for Outcome and Resource Evaluation

Tamishta Hensman

The Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society (ANZICS) - Centre for Outcome and Resource Evaluation

Shailesh Bihari

Flinders University - College of Medicine and Public Health

Michael Bailey

Monash University - Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Research Centre

Jason McClure

Alfred Health - Alfred Intensive Care Unit

Mark Nicholls

The Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society (ANZICS) - Centre for Outcome and Resource Evaluation

Shaila Chavan

The Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society (ANZICS) - Centre for Outcome and Resource Evaluation

Paul Secombe

Alice Springs Hospital; The Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society (ANZICS) - Centre for Outcome and Resource Evaluation

Sue Huckson

The Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society (ANZICS) - Centre for Outcome and Resource Evaluation

Edward Litton

Fiona Stanley Hospital - Intensive Care Unit; The Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society (ANZICS) - Centre for Outcome and Resource Evaluation

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Abstract

Background: Strain on resources may lead to poor patient outcomes following admission to an Intensive Care Unit (ICU). Consistent quantifiable markers of ICU strain have not been described.

Methods: Data from the Critical Health Resources Information System were matched to the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society Adult Patient Database between June 2020 and March 2022. An Activity Index was calculated as census total of ‘patients with 1:1 nursing’ + ‘invasive ventilation’ + ‘renal replacement’ + ‘extracorporeal membrane oxygenation’ + ‘COVID-19’, divided by total staffed ICU beds. Patients were categorised as admitted to very quiet (Activity Index <0·1), quiet (0·1 to <0·6), intermediate (0·6 to <1·1), busy (1·1 to <1·6) or very busy ICUs (≥ 1·6). The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included in-ICU mortality, post-ICU mortality, after-hours discharge, discharge delay and readmission.

Findings: 277,737 patients admitted to 175 Australian ICUs were analysed. Median Activity Index was 0·87 (IQR 0·40-1·24). 19,177 (6·9%) patients died. In-hospital mortality ranged from 2·4% in very quiet ICUs, to 10·9% in very busy ICUs. After adjusting for patient and hospital confounders, being in a busier ICU was associated with increased risk of in-hospital mortality (OR 1·49, 99%CI 1·41-1·58), in-ICU mortality (OR 1·59, 99%CI 1·49–1·71), post-ICU mortality (OR 1·24, 99%CI 1·15-1·34), after-hours discharge (OR 1·27, 99%CI 1·23-1·32), readmission (OR 1·18, 99%CI 1·12-1·26) and reduced likelihood of discharge delay (OR 0·58, 99%CI 0·56-0·61).

Interpretation: The Activity Index is a marker of strain which identifies ICUs at risk of adverse patient outcomes.

Funding: This was an unfunded study undertaken by the authors.

Declration of Interest: The authors declare no conflicts of interest or competing interests.

Ethical Approval: The study was approved as a low-risk project by the Human Research and Ethics Committee of The Alfred Hospital (HREC 87/22).

Keywords: Intensive care unit, strain, activity, occupancy, outcomes, mortality, readmission, after-hours discharge

Suggested Citation

Pilcher, David and Hensman, Tamishta and Bihari, Shailesh and Bailey, Michael and McClure, Jason and Nicholls, Mark and Chavan, Shaila and Secombe, Paul and Huckson, Sue and Litton, Edward, Measuring the Impact of Intensive Care Unit Strain on Patient Outcomes with the Activity Index: An Observational Nation-Wide Study. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4284628 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4284628

David Pilcher (Contact Author)

The Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society (ANZICS) - Centre for Outcome and Resource Evaluation

Tamishta Hensman

The Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society (ANZICS) - Centre for Outcome and Resource Evaluation ( email )

Shailesh Bihari

Flinders University - College of Medicine and Public Health ( email )

Michael Bailey

Monash University - Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Research Centre ( email )

Jason McClure

Alfred Health - Alfred Intensive Care Unit ( email )

Mark Nicholls

The Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society (ANZICS) - Centre for Outcome and Resource Evaluation ( email )

Shaila Chavan

The Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society (ANZICS) - Centre for Outcome and Resource Evaluation ( email )

Paul Secombe

Alice Springs Hospital ( email )

Alice Springs
Australia

The Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society (ANZICS) - Centre for Outcome and Resource Evaluation ( email )

Sue Huckson

The Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society (ANZICS) - Centre for Outcome and Resource Evaluation ( email )

Edward Litton

Fiona Stanley Hospital - Intensive Care Unit

Australia

The Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society (ANZICS) - Centre for Outcome and Resource Evaluation

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