KDI 경제전망 2022 하반기 (KDI Economic Outlook 2022 2nd Half)

Abstract

Korean Abstract:
□ 우리 경제는 2023년에 수출 증가세가 크게 둔화되고 투자 부진도 지속되면서 1.8% 성장하는 데 그칠 전망
○ 소비자물가는 국제유가가 안정되면서 상승폭은 축소되겠으나, 여전히 물가안정 목표(2%)를 상회하는 3.2%의 높은 상승률을 나타낼 전망
○ 취업자 수는 양호한 고용 여건이 유지됨에도 불구하고 기저효과와 고령화로 인해 증가폭이 8만명으로 축소될 전망

English Abstract:
□ The Korean economy is forecast to grow 2.8% in 2022 on rebounding private consumption despite shrinking investment and 2.3% in 2023 on slower exports.
○ Headline inflation is expected to rise up to 4.2% in 2022 on recovering economy and soaring oil prices, sliding to 2.2% in 2023 as oil prices stabilize.
○ In 2022, a sharp growth of about 600,000 is expected in the number of employed persons as face-to-face services are on track for recovery. In 2023, the favorable growth is likely to continue but with a reduced growth to 120,000 due to the base effect.

Note: Downloadable document is in Korean.