Political Trust and Democracy: The Critical Citizens Thesis Re-Examined
Forthcoming in Democratization; DOI: 10.1080/13510347.2023.2257607
40 Pages Posted: 3 Jan 2023 Last revised: 30 Sep 2023
Date Written: December 20, 2022
Abstract
This paper empirically assesses competing perspectives of the relationship between democracy and political trust. We conduct multilevel analyses on a cross-national panel dataset of 82 countries for the period 1990-2020. The findings suggest that there is a strong, negative relationship between democracy and political trust that cannot easily be dismissed as an artifact of model misspecification or response bias. Moreover, we re-examine the critical citizens thesis by disaggregating political trust into trust in partisan and “non-partisan” institutions to test the claim that well-functioning democracies contain and channel distrust into the more partisan political institutions to keep distrust from generalizing to the entire political system. The results fail to find a statistically significant difference of the effect of democracy on trust between partisan and non-partisan institutions, suggesting that low political trust may be a stronger contributor to democratic decline than much of the literature suggests.
Keywords: Democracy; Political Trust; Cross-National; Quantitative Methods
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