Retrodiction Markets
Journal of Law & Public Policy (forthcoming)
18 Pages Posted: 24 Jan 2023 Last revised: 5 Feb 2024
Date Written: January 16, 2023
Abstract
A growing chorus of scholars and policy makers have decried the proliferation of false information on the Internet—fake news, conspiracy theories, and the like—while at the same time downplaying the dangers of Internet censorship. This Article proposes a simple alternative to censorship: a retrodiction market in which participants buy and sell belief contracts.
Keywords: belief contracts, conspiracy theories, fake news, false information, Internet, truth
JEL Classification: D89, K24, K19
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Guerra-Pujol, F. E., Retrodiction Markets (January 16, 2023). Journal of Law & Public Policy (forthcoming), Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract= or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4323607
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