Mispricing Decomposition and Global Mispricing Index

54 Pages Posted: 19 Jan 2023 Last revised: 12 May 2025

See all articles by Vitor Azevedo

Vitor Azevedo

Department of Financial Management - RPTU Kaiserslautern-Landau

Minghui Chen

Technische Universität München (TUM) - Department of Financial Management and Capital Markets

Christoph Kaserer

Technische Universität München (TUM)

Sebastian Müller

Technische Universität München (TUM) - TUM School of Management

Date Written: January 17, 2023

Abstract

We introduce a proxy for systematic global equity mispricing (Mispricing R2) based on an instrumented principal component analysis. Mispricing R2 varies across markets and over time, and it strongly correlates with the long-short portfolio returns of technical indicators. It is higher in countries with lower market development, poorer accounting quality, and greater limits to arbitrage. The key drivers of Mispricing R2 are short-sale restrictions and the importance of the stock market at the country level, while momentum and distress are the most influential characteristics at the firm level. Our results reveal substantial differences in market efficiency across the globe.

The data that support the findings of this study are openly available in Mendeley Data at https://data.mendeley.com/datasets/yz8k4p66mt/1

Keywords: Mispricing, stock market anomalies, market efficiency, instrumented principal components analysis (IPCA)

JEL Classification: G12, G14, G15

Suggested Citation

Azevedo, Vitor and Chen, Minghui and Kaserer, Christoph and Müller, Sebastian, Mispricing Decomposition and Global Mispricing Index (January 17, 2023). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4326763 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4326763

Vitor Azevedo (Contact Author)

Department of Financial Management - RPTU Kaiserslautern-Landau ( email )

Kaiserslautern
Germany

Minghui Chen

Technische Universität München (TUM) - Department of Financial Management and Capital Markets ( email )

Munich, 80333
Germany

Christoph Kaserer

Technische Universität München (TUM) ( email )

Arcisstr. 21
Munich, D-80290
Germany
+49 89 289 25489 (Phone)
+49 89 289 25488 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.cefs.de

Sebastian Müller

Technische Universität München (TUM) - TUM School of Management ( email )

Germany

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