EDB Macroeconomic Outlook 2023

Abstract

The document contains a detailed description of the current domestic and external macroeconomic conditions, and a consistent set of forecasts. The analysis covers existing mutual links among six economies (Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, and Tajikistan) and their key trading partners. Macroeconomic projections are developed by the EDB using the integrated modelling system underpinned by a multi-country dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model. Additional information on that system is presented in a joint EDB and EEC report.

Keywords: economic growth, forecast, GDP, inflation, exchange rate, demand, monetary policy, budget, interest rate, investments, export, import

JEL Classification: E17, F15, F31, H62, O11