A Survey of Pandemic Early Warnings (1999–2019)

49 Pages Posted: 15 Feb 2023 Last revised: 16 Feb 2023

See all articles by Marcelo de Araujo

Marcelo de Araujo

Federal University of Rio de Janeiro; State University of Rio de Janeiro

Daniel de Vasconcelos Costa

State University of Rio de Janeiro (UERJ)

Date Written: February 13, 2023

Abstract

This survey of pandemic early warnings contains reference to documents issued between 1999 and 2019. By “early warnings” we do not mean conventional early warning systems, but, rather, documents that appeared prior to the COVID outbreak and that explicitly called attention to the threats posed by ever more frequent disease outbreaks with pandemic potential or to the lack of appropriate pandemic preparedness and response capabilities at local or international level. The survey does not purport to be exhaustive, but, rather, only illustrative of an abundance of documents that warned of pandemic threats during the years leading up to the COVID outbreak. This survey, we suggest, can be instrumental to the work of professional researchers, educators, journalists, and policymakers currently concerned with questions related to the public understanding of evidence-based health policies or pandemic communication.

Keywords: Pandemics, COVID, Early Warnings, Grey Literature

Suggested Citation

Araujo, Marcelo de and de Vasconcelos Costa, Daniel, A Survey of Pandemic Early Warnings (1999–2019) (February 13, 2023). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4357126 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4357126

Marcelo de Araujo (Contact Author)

Federal University of Rio de Janeiro ( email )

Rua Moncorvo Filho 8
Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro 22245040
Brazil

State University of Rio de Janeiro ( email )

Rua São Francisco Xavier, 524
CEP 20550-013
Rio de Janeiro, 22030-000
Brazil

HOME PAGE: http://www.ppgfil.uerj.br/

Daniel De Vasconcelos Costa

State University of Rio de Janeiro (UERJ) ( email )

Rua São Francisco Xavier 524, Maracanã
Rio de Janeiro, 20550-900
Brazil

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