Download This PaperThe Heterogeneous Response of Real Estate Asset Prices to a Global Shock
Center for Financial Studies Working Paper No. 690, 2022
59 Pages Posted: 24 Feb 2023
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The Heterogeneous Response of Real Estate Asset Prices to a Global Shock
Date Written: 2022
Abstract
We estimate the transmission of the pandemic shock in 2020 to prices in the residential and commercial real estate market by causal machine learning, using new granular data at the municipal level for Germany. We exploit differences in the incidence of Covid infections or short-time work at the municipal level for identification. In contrast to evidence for other countries, we find that the pandemic had only temporary negative effects on rents for some real estate types and increased asset prices of real estate particularly in the top price segment of commercial real estate.
Keywords: Real estate, Asset prices, Rents, Covid pandemic, Short-time work, Affordability crisis
JEL Classification: E21, E22, G12, G51, R21, R31
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