Recovering from COVID (Spending) Fever

17 Pages Posted: 20 Mar 2023

See all articles by Alea Wilbur-Mujtaba

Alea Wilbur-Mujtaba

University of Illinois at Chicago - Institute of Government and Public Affairs

Francis Choi

University of Illinois at Chicago

David Merriman

University of Illinois at Chicago - Institute of Government and Public Affairs; Department of Public Administration

Date Written: March 15, 2023

Abstract

When the state of Illinois’ 2022 fiscal year ended on June 30, 2022, the state and the nation had endured more than 27 months of the COVID-19 pandemic. Despite a plethora of health, societal, and economic challenges, Illinois emerged from this period in its strongest fiscal position in more than two decades. This fortuitous result was in part due to the exceptional generosity of federal aid but also was attributable to surges in economic activity and own source tax revenue. State spending also rose but much more slowly than revenue. The net result was the first substantially positive fiscal balance since 1998. While this good news may be cause to celebrate, we caution that Illinois’ fiscal situation remains tenuous and is likely to require diligence and restraint to remain healthy in the coming years. We base our findings on data and methodology from the IGPA Fiscal Futures Project which uses detailed revenue and expenditure figures from the Illinois Office of Comptroller (IOC). The Comptroller’s data covers all state spending and revenue, appropriated and non-appropriated within general and special funds. We use an “All Funds” basis of fiscal categories rather than focusing narrowly on Illinois’ general funds. We aggregate the IOC data into a meaningful and consistent set of revenue and expenditure categories focusing on the function of spending rather than fund names or departments.

Keywords: billion, revenue, Illinois, fiscal, funds, pandemic, covid, taxes, medicaid, state

Suggested Citation

Wilbur-Mujtaba, Alea and Choi, Francis and Merriman, David, Recovering from COVID (Spending) Fever (March 15, 2023). Institute of Government and Public Affairs Research Paper No. Forthcoming, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4389981 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4389981

Alea Wilbur-Mujtaba (Contact Author)

University of Illinois at Chicago - Institute of Government and Public Affairs ( email )

1200 W Harrison St
Chicago, IL 60607
United States

Francis Choi

University of Illinois at Chicago ( email )

1200 W Harrison St
Chicago, IL 60607
United States

David Merriman

University of Illinois at Chicago - Institute of Government and Public Affairs

Chicago, IL 60607
United States

Department of Public Administration ( email )

400 S Peoria St.
2122 AEH (MC278)
Chicago, IL 60607
United States

Do you have a job opening that you would like to promote on SSRN?

Paper statistics

Downloads
26
Abstract Views
243
PlumX Metrics