The Impact of Conflicts of Interest on Inflation Stabilization
Universidade de Coimbra - Faculty of Economics
Universidade do Minho NIPE Working Paper No. 8/2003
This paper tries to explain why high inflation levels persist during long periods of time, in several countries affected by chronic inflation, without the necessary corrective measures being implemented. Political models of conflict explain these delays as the result of coordination problems caused by collective choice-making mechanisms. The empirical results of a tobit model estimated over a panel of 10 countries affected by chronic inflation and covering 43 years of observations show that more fragmented political systems and those with a large number of parties represented in the parliament present greater delays of inflation stabilizations. Since higher fragmentation foments conflicts of interest, I conclude that such conflicts are one of the main causes of those delays in chronic inflation countries.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 36
Keywords: Inflation Stabilization, Delays of Stabilizations, Conflicts of Interest, Tobit Model
JEL Classification: E31, E63
Date posted: September 19, 2003