Asset Pricing and Risk Sharing Implications of Alternative Pension Plan Systems

68 Pages Posted: 14 Apr 2023 Last revised: 27 Sep 2023

See all articles by Nuno Coimbra

Nuno Coimbra

Banque de France

Francisco Gomes

London Business School

Alexander Michaelides

Imperial College Business School; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Jialu Shen

University of Missouri at Columbia - Department of Finance

Date Written: March 31, 2023

Abstract

We show that incorporating defined benefit pension funds in an incomplete markets asset pricing model improves its ability to match the historical equity premium and riskless rate and has important risk sharing implications. We document the importance of the pension fund's size and asset demands, and a new risk channel arising from fluctuations in the fund's returns. We use our calibrated model to study the implications of a shift to an economy with defined contribution plans. The new steady-state is characterized by a higher riskless rate and a lower equity premium. Consumption volatility increases for retirees but decreases for workers.

Keywords: Equity Premium, Pension Funds, Defined Contribution and Defined Benefit Pension Plans, Intermediary-Based Asset Pricing, Incomplete Risk Sharing.

JEL Classification: E21, E44, G11, G12, G50.

Suggested Citation

Coimbra, Nuno and Gomes, Francisco and Michaelides, Alexander and Shen, Jialu, Asset Pricing and Risk Sharing Implications of Alternative Pension Plan Systems (March 31, 2023). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4406011 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4406011

Nuno Coimbra

Banque de France ( email )

31, rue Croix des Petits Champs
75049 Paris Cedex 01
FRANCE

Francisco Gomes

London Business School ( email )

Finance Department
Sussex Place - Regent's Park
London NW1 4SA
United Kingdom

HOME PAGE: http://sites.google.com/view/francisco-gomes/home

Alexander Michaelides

Imperial College Business School ( email )

South Kensington Campus
Exhibition Road
London SW7 2AZ, SW7 2AZ
United Kingdom

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London
United Kingdom

Jialu Shen (Contact Author)

University of Missouri at Columbia - Department of Finance ( email )

Columbia, MO 65211
United States

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