Business Cycles, the Current Account and Administered Protection in Mexico

23 Pages Posted: 5 Sep 2003

See all articles by Joseph F. Francois

Joseph F. Francois

University of Bern - Department of Economics; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); Vienna Institute of International Economic Studies (WIIW); University of Adelaide - School of Economics

Gunnar Niels

Oxford Economic Research Associates (OXERA) Consulting Ltd.

Date Written: July 2003

Abstract

Antidumping actions in the United States and EU are known to be linked to macroeconomic conditions. In part, this is because positive injury findings may be easier to make in a downturn. We explore the evidence for Mexico, one of the main 'new' antidumping-using countries. Injury determination is also critical in Mexico's antidumping policy, as a majority of unsuccessful complaints have been rejected because of negative injury findings rather than negative findings of dumping. Working with data from 1987 through 2000, we provide evidence for a relationship between macro-economic factors and antidumping complaints, including current account and exchange rate movements, and both local and global general macroeconomic conditions.

JEL Classification: F10, F13

Suggested Citation

Francois, Joseph F and Niels, Gunnar, Business Cycles, the Current Account and Administered Protection in Mexico (July 2003). CEPR Discussion Paper No. 3981. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=441900

Joseph F Francois (Contact Author)

University of Bern - Department of Economics ( email )

Schanzeneckstrasse 1
Bern, CH-3001
Switzerland

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London
United Kingdom

Vienna Institute of International Economic Studies (WIIW) ( email )

Oppolzergasse 6
A-1010 Vienna
Austria

University of Adelaide - School of Economics ( email )

Adelaide SA, 5005
Australia
+61 8 8303 5540 (Phone)
+61 8 8223 1460 (Fax)

Gunnar Niels

Oxford Economic Research Associates (OXERA) Consulting Ltd. ( email )

Park Central
40/41 Park End Street
Oxford OX1 1JD
United Kingdom
+44 (0) 1865 253 000 (Phone)
+44 (0) 1865 251 172 (Fax)

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