Warp Speed Price Moves: Jumps after Earnings Announcements

98 Pages Posted: 25 Apr 2023 Last revised: 8 Jan 2024

See all articles by Kim Christensen

Kim Christensen

Aarhus University - CREATES

Allan Timmermann

University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Rady School of Management

Bezirgen Veliyev

Aarhus University

Date Written: November 2023

Abstract

Corporate earnings announcements unpack large bundles of information that should, in efficient markets, trigger jumps in stock prices. Testing this implication is difficult in practice, as it requires noisy high-frequency data from after-hours markets, where most earnings announcements are released. With a unique dataset and a new microstructure noise-robust jump test, we show that earnings announcements almost always induce jumps in the stock price of announcing firms. They also significantly raise the probability of price co-jumps in non-announcing firms and the market. We find that returns from a post-announcement trading strategy are consistent with an efficient price formation after 2016.

Keywords: After-hours trading; earnings announcements; jump testing; high-frequency data; market efficiency; price discovery.

JEL Classification: C10; C80.

Suggested Citation

Christensen, Kim and Timmermann, Allan and Veliyev, Bezirgen, Warp Speed Price Moves: Jumps after Earnings Announcements (November 2023). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4422376 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4422376

Kim Christensen (Contact Author)

Aarhus University - CREATES ( email )

Department of Economics and Business Economics
Fuglesangs Allé 4
Aarhus V, 8210
Denmark

Allan Timmermann

University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Rady School of Management ( email )

9500 Gilman Drive
Rady School of Management
La Jolla, CA 92093
United States

Bezirgen Veliyev

Aarhus University ( email )

CREATES
Fuglesangs Alle 4
DK-8210 Aarhus V, 8210
Denmark

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