Liquidity Constraint Threat and Household Indebtedness

51 Pages Posted: 10 May 2023 Last revised: 24 Oct 2024

See all articles by Sumit Agarwal

Sumit Agarwal

National University of Singapore

Wenlan Qian

National University of Singapore - NUS Business School

Xin Zou

Hong Kong Baptist University (HKBU)

Date Written: October 24, 2024

Abstract

Using individual-level credit card data, this study examines the efficacy of a consumer financial regulation designed to curtail the accumulation of unsecured debt among households. The implementation of a non-binding penalty, entailing the suspension of all existing unsecured credit for heavily indebted individuals, leads to a 9.9% greater reduction in monthly credit card debt among credit card revolvers compared to non-revolvers following the policy announcement. We also document significant reductions in other outcome variables, including credit card spending, balance, and delinquency. Significant debt reductions are observed even among revolvers who are distant from the penalty threshold. Consistent with a decision weight mechanism whereby individuals tend to assign heightened importance to extreme negative events, the credit card debt response is more pronounced among revolvers whose existing unsecured credit is more important.

Keywords: Liquidity Constraints, Household Indebtedness, Financial Regulations, Unsecured Debt, Credit Suspension, Credit Cards, Household Finance

JEL Classification: D12, D14, D91, E51, E62, G21, G28, G51, J22, J31

Suggested Citation

Agarwal, Sumit and Qian, Wenlan and Zou, Xin, Liquidity Constraint Threat and Household Indebtedness (October 24, 2024). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4440857 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4440857

Sumit Agarwal

National University of Singapore ( email )

15 Kent Ridge Drive
Singapore, 117592
Singapore
8118 9025 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://www.ushakrisna.com

Wenlan Qian

National University of Singapore - NUS Business School ( email )

15 Kent Ridge Drive
Singapore 117592, 119245
Singapore
(65) 65163015 (Phone)

Xin Zou (Contact Author)

Hong Kong Baptist University (HKBU) ( email )

Department of Economics
Kowloon, Hong Kong
Hong Kong

HOME PAGE: http://sites.google.com/site/shirleyxinzou/

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