When Do Cross-Sectional Asset Pricing Factors Span the Stochastic Discount Factor?

68 Pages Posted: 12 May 2023 Last revised: 17 May 2023

See all articles by Serhiy Kozak

Serhiy Kozak

University of Maryland - Robert H. Smith School of Business

Stefan Nagel

University of Chicago - Booth School of Business; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Centre for Economic Policy Research; CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute)

Date Written: May 16, 2023

Abstract

When expected returns are linear in asset characteristics, the stochastic discount factor (SDF) that prices individual stocks can be represented as a factor model with GLS cross-sectional regression slope factors. Factors constructed heuristically by aggregating individual stocks into characteristics-based factor portfolios using sorting, characteristics-weighting, or OLS cross-sectional regression slopes do not span this SDF unless the covariance matrix of stock returns has a specific structure. These conditions are more likely satisfied when researchers use large numbers of characteristics simultaneously. Methods to hedge unpriced components of heuristic factor returns allow partial relaxation of these conditions. We also show the conditions that must hold for dimension reduction to a number of factors smaller than the number of characteristics to be possible without having to invert a large covariance matrix. Under these conditions, instrumented and projected principal components analysis methods can be implemented as simple PCA on characteristics-based portfolios.

Suggested Citation

Kozak, Serhiy and Nagel, Stefan, When Do Cross-Sectional Asset Pricing Factors Span the Stochastic Discount Factor? (May 16, 2023). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4443643 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4443643

Serhiy Kozak (Contact Author)

University of Maryland - Robert H. Smith School of Business ( email )

7621 Mowatt Ln
College Park, MD 20742
United States

HOME PAGE: http://serhiykozak.com

Stefan Nagel

University of Chicago - Booth School of Business ( email )

5807 S. Woodlawn Avenue
Chicago, IL 60637
United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

Centre for Economic Policy Research ( email )

London
United Kingdom

CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute) ( email )

Poschinger Str. 5
Munich, DE-81679
Germany

Do you have a job opening that you would like to promote on SSRN?

Paper statistics

Downloads
186
Abstract Views
197
Rank
259,443
PlumX Metrics