The Economics of Financial Stress

84 Pages Posted: 29 May 2023 Last revised: 12 Jun 2023

See all articles by Dmitriy Sergeyev

Dmitriy Sergeyev

Bocconi University

Chen Lian

University of California, Berkeley

Yuriy Gorodnichenko

University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); IZA Institute of Labor Economics

Date Written: May 2023

Abstract

We study the psychological costs of financial constraints and their economic consequences. Using a representative survey of U.S. households, we document the prevalence of financial stress in U.S. households and a strong relationship between financial stress and measures of financial constraints. We incorporate financial stress into an otherwise standard dynamic model of consumption and labor supply. We emphasize two key results. First, both financial stress itself and naivete about financial stress are important components of a psychology-based theory of the poverty trap. Sophisticates, instead, save extra to escape high-stress states because they understand that doing so alleviates the economic consequences of financial stress. Second, the financial stress channel dampens or reverses the counterfactual large negative wealth effect on labor earnings because relieving stress frees up cognitive resources for productive work. Financial stress also has macroeconomic implications on wealth inequality and fiscal multipliers.

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Suggested Citation

Sergeyev, Dmitriy and Lian, Chen and Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, The Economics of Financial Stress (May 2023). NBER Working Paper No. w31285, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4461635

Dmitriy Sergeyev (Contact Author)

Bocconi University ( email )

Via Sarfatti, 25
Milan, MI 20136
Italy

Chen Lian

University of California, Berkeley ( email )

579 Evans Hall
Berkeley, CA 94709
United States

Yuriy Gorodnichenko

University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics ( email )

549 Evans Hall #3880
Berkeley, CA 94720-3880
United States

HOME PAGE: http://www.econ.berkeley.edu/~ygorodni/index.htm

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