Resting on Their Laureates? Research Productivity Among Winners of the Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine

69 Pages Posted: 19 Jun 2023 Last revised: 2 Mar 2025

See all articles by Jay Bhattacharya

Jay Bhattacharya

Stanford University - Center for Primary Care and Outcomes Research; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Paul Bollyky

Stanford University

Jeremy D. Goldhaber-Fiebert

Stanford University - Department of Medicine

Geir Holom

University of Oslo

Mikko Packalen

University of Waterloo - Department of Economics

David Studdert

Stanford Law School

Date Written: June 2023

Abstract

The Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine is the most prestigious and coveted award in medical research. Anecdotal evidence and related research suggest that receiving it may adversely affect research productivity. We compared the post-Nobel research output of laureates (prize years: 1950-2010) with their pre-Nobel output and with the output of a matched control group consisting of winners of the Lasker Award, another highly prestigious medical research prize. Pre-Nobel, laureates’ publications were more voluminous, highly cited, and novel than those of (future) Lasker winners. Post-Nobel, laureates’ productivity decreased sharply, eventually falling below that of Lasker winners on all three measures. These declines may reflect diversionary effects of the Prize, changed incentives, or intrinsically different career arcs for medical researchers who win the Nobel Prize.

Suggested Citation

Bhattacharya, Jayanta and Bollyky, Paul and Goldhaber-Fiebert, Jeremy D. and Holom, Geir and Packalen, Mikko and Studdert, David, Resting on Their Laureates? Research Productivity Among Winners of the Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine (June 2023). NBER Working Paper No. w31352, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4483653

Jayanta Bhattacharya (Contact Author)

Stanford University - Center for Primary Care and Outcomes Research ( email )

Center for Health Policy
179 Encina Commons
Stanford, CA 94305-6019
United States
650-736-0404 (Phone)
650-723-1919 (Fax)

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

Paul Bollyky

Stanford University ( email )

367 Panama St
Stanford, CA 94305
United States

Jeremy D. Goldhaber-Fiebert

Stanford University - Department of Medicine ( email )

Stanford, CA
United States

Geir Holom

University of Oslo ( email )

PO Box 6706 St Olavs plass
Oslo, N-0317
Norway

Mikko Packalen

University of Waterloo - Department of Economics ( email )

Waterloo, Ontario N2L 3G1
Canada

David Studdert

Stanford Law School ( email )

367 Panama St
Stanford, CA 94305
United States

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