The Impact of Fear on Police Behavior and Public Safety

64 Pages Posted: 26 Jun 2023 Last revised: 11 Apr 2025

See all articles by Sungwoo Cho

Sungwoo Cho

United States Military Academy, West Point - Department of Social Sciences

Felipe Gonçalves

University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) - Department of Economics

Emily Weisburst

University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) - Luskin School of Public Affairs; University of Texas at Austin

Date Written: June 2023

Abstract

We examine how changes in the salience of workplace risk affect police behavior and public safety. Specifically, we investigate cases of police officer deaths while on duty. Officers respond to a peer death by decreasing arrest activity for one to two months, consistent with heightened fear. Reductions are largest for low-level arrests and are more pronounced in smaller cities. Crime does not increase on average during this period, nor do we observe crime spikes in cities with larger or longer arrest declines. While shocks in fatality risk generate substantial enforcement responses, officer fear is unlikely to harm public safety.

Suggested Citation

Cho, Sungwoo and Gonçalves, Felipe and Weisburst, Emily, The Impact of Fear on Police Behavior and Public Safety (June 2023). NBER Working Paper No. w31392, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4491235

Sungwoo Cho (Contact Author)

United States Military Academy, West Point - Department of Social Sciences ( email )

West Point, NY
United States

Felipe Gonçalves

University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) - Department of Economics ( email )

8283 Bunche Hall
Los Angeles, CA 90095-1477
United States

Emily Weisburst

University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) - Luskin School of Public Affairs ( email )

3250 Public Affairs Building
Los Angeles, CA 90095-1656
United States

University of Texas at Austin ( email )

2317 Speedway
Austin, TX Texas 78712
United States

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