The Price Cap on Russian Oil: A Quantitative Analysis

41 Pages Posted: 5 Jul 2023

See all articles by Henrik Wachtmeister

Henrik Wachtmeister

Uppsala University - Department of Earth Sciences

Johan Gars

The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences - Beijer International Institute of Ecological Economics

Daniel Spiro

Uppsala University, Dept. of Economics

Date Written: July 1, 2023

Abstract

We analyze the price cap on Russian oil, using parsimonious modeling and detailed Russian oil-field data. The cap implies Russian producer losses and Russian consumer benefits, with substantial net losses. India and China are the main beneficiaries among oil importers. A price cap of 50 USD/bbl maximizes oil-importers’ benefits, but every reduction of 10 USD imposes an additional

Keywords: Energy warfare, oil, Russia, Ukraine, EU, price cap, export restriction, sanctions

JEL Classification: E61, F13, H56, H77, Q4

Suggested Citation

Wachtmeister, Henrik and Gars, Johan and Spiro, Daniel, The Price Cap on Russian Oil: A Quantitative Analysis (July 1, 2023). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4497485 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4497485

Henrik Wachtmeister

Uppsala University - Department of Earth Sciences

Johan Gars

The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences - Beijer International Institute of Ecological Economics ( email )

The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences
P.O. Box 50005
S-104 05 Stockholm, SE-104 05
United States

Daniel Spiro (Contact Author)

Uppsala University, Dept. of Economics ( email )

Box 513
Uppsala, 751 20
Sweden

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