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High Prevalence of Hypertension and High-Normal Blood Pressure: Findings from a Large Population-Based Survey of Young Adults in Zimbabwe

24 Pages Posted: 6 Jul 2023

See all articles by Kalpana Sabapathy

Kalpana Sabapathy

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - MRC International Statistics & Epidemiology Group

Fredrick Cyprian

National Institute of Medical Research

Ethel Dauya

Biomedical Research and Training Institute

Tsitsi Bandason

Biomedical Research and Training Institute

Victoria Simms

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - MRC Tropical Epidemiology Group (TEG); London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - MRC International Statistics & Epidemiology Group

Chido Dziva Chikwari

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Department of Clinical Research; London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - MRC International Statistics & Epidemiology Group

Aoife Doyle

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - MRC International Statistics & Epidemiology Group

David Ross

Stellenbosch University - Institute for Life Course Health Research

Anoop Shah

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Department of Non-Communicable Disease Epidemiology

Richard J. Hayes

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - MRC International Statistics & Epidemiology Group

Alta E. Schutte

University of New South Wales (UNSW) - School of Population Health

Katharina Kranzer

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Department of Clinical Research

Rashida Abbas Ferrand

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Department of Clinical Research; London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine

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Abstract

Background: Most cardiovascular mortality is due to hypertension and onset may be in youth. We  investigated the prevalence of and risk factors for elevated blood pressure (BP) (hypertension (≥140/90mmHg) and high-normal BP (130-139/85-89mmHg)) among youth in Zimbabwe. 

Methods: A population-based survey of randomly sampled 18-24 year olds from 24 communities in three provinces was conducted, with standardised questionnaires to collect socio-demographic, behavioural and clinical data. Height, weight and BP were recorded. The association of potential risk factors with elevated BP was examined using multivariable logistic regression. 

Findings: Of 17,682 participants recruited (98% of those eligible), 17,637 had complete data. The median age was 20 (IQR: 19-22) years and 60.7% were female. After excluding pregnant women (N=754), the prevalence of hypertension and high-normal BP was 7.4% (95% CI:7·0-7·8) and 12.2% (95% CI:12·7-13·7), respectively. Prevalence of hypertension was higher in men (8.7% (95% CI:8·2-9·6) vs 6.6% (95% CI:6·0-6·9) in men and women, respectively) but with age increased to equivalent levels among women (at 18y 7.3% (95% CI:6·2-8·6) and 4.3% (95% CI:3·5-5·2); at 23-24 years 10.9% (95% CI:9·3- 12·5) and 9.50% (95% CI:8·4-10·7)  in men and women, respectively). After adjusting for confounders, male sex  ((aOR) 1.53 (95% CI:1.36-1.74)), increasing age (19-20 years aOR:1.20 (1.00-1.44); 21-22 years aOR:1.45 (95% CI 1.20-1.75); 23-24 years aOR 1.90 (95% CI:1.57-2.30), vs 18 years) and obesity (aOR 1.94 (95% CI:1.53-2.47)) were associated with hypertension. Being underweight (aOR 0.79 (0.63-0.98)) and living with HIV (aOR 0.71 (95% CI:0.55-0.92)) were associated with lower odds of hypertension. 

Interpretation: Prevalence of elevated BP is high among youth in SSA and rises rapidly with age. Further research is needed to understand drivers of BP elevation and the extent of target organ damage in youth in SSA,  to guide implementation of prevention and management strategies.

Funding: The study was funded by the Wellcome Trust (Grant 095878/Z/11/Z).

Declaration of Interest: RAF's institution received a grant from the Wellcome Trust. Salary support for VS and RH was in part from a grant from the Medical Research Council (MRC) and the Department for International Development (DFID UK) under the MRC/DFID Concordat (MR/K012126/1). All other authors declare no competing interests.

Ethical Approval: The study was approved by the Medical Research Council, Zimbabwe, the Biomedical Research and Training Institute Institutional Review Board and the ethics committee of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.

Keywords: Hypertension, Blood Pressure, Young People, Youth, Sub-Saharan Africa

Suggested Citation

Sabapathy, Kalpana and Cyprian, Fredrick and Dauya, Ethel and Bandason, Tsitsi and Simms, Victoria and Dziva Chikwari, Chido and Doyle, Aoife and Ross, David and Shah, Anoop and Hayes, Richard J. and Schutte, Alta E. and Kranzer, Katharina and Ferrand, Rashida Abbas, High Prevalence of Hypertension and High-Normal Blood Pressure: Findings from a Large Population-Based Survey of Young Adults in Zimbabwe. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4498400 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4498400

Kalpana Sabapathy (Contact Author)

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - MRC International Statistics & Epidemiology Group ( email )

Fredrick Cyprian

National Institute of Medical Research ( email )

Ethel Dauya

Biomedical Research and Training Institute ( email )

Tsitsi Bandason

Biomedical Research and Training Institute ( email )

Victoria Simms

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - MRC Tropical Epidemiology Group (TEG) ( email )

London
United Kingdom

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - MRC International Statistics & Epidemiology Group ( email )

Chido Dziva Chikwari

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Department of Clinical Research ( email )

London
United Kingdom

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - MRC International Statistics & Epidemiology Group ( email )

Aoife Doyle

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - MRC International Statistics & Epidemiology Group

David Ross

Stellenbosch University - Institute for Life Course Health Research ( email )

Anoop Shah

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Department of Non-Communicable Disease Epidemiology ( email )

Richard J. Hayes

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - MRC International Statistics & Epidemiology Group ( email )

Alta E. Schutte

University of New South Wales (UNSW) - School of Population Health ( email )

Katharina Kranzer

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Department of Clinical Research ( email )

Rashida Abbas Ferrand

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Department of Clinical Research

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine ( email )

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