Greenium Fluctuations and Climate Awareness in the Corporate Bond Market

Abstract

This study offers a novel explanation for the dynamics of the greenium in the secondary market of corporate green bonds. Utilising a matched dataset of green and non-green corporate bonds from January 2014 to July 2022, we find that the greenium responds significantly, even if briefly, to climate policy events. It reaches its peak of 15 basis points shortly after the 2015 Paris Agreement. This response is economically significant as it accounts for 20% of the average yield spread observed in all the bonds within our matched sample. In addition, we find that when natural disasters strike, certified green bonds exhibit a positive return, making them a viable hedge against the negative performance of conventional bonds. We also show that heightened media coverage of climate change leads to a narrowing of yield spreads for both green and non-green bonds issued by green bond issuers. The impact is even more pronounced for certified green bonds. Taken together, these insights support the view that market sentiment is a key driver of the time variation of the greenium.

Keywords: Greenium, Green Bonds, Climate Change, Market Sentiment, Natural Disasters

JEL Classification: G12, G14, G40, Q54