The Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Stock Prices

6 Pages Posted: 7 Aug 2023

Abstract

This study employs a panel local projections (LP) model to analyze the influence of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on real equity returns based on thirteen economies, collectively accounting for 77.4% of global output. Utilizing both linear and non-linear LP models, we demonstrate that EPU exerts a negative impact on real equity returns. Moreover, the non-linear LP model reveals that uncertainty amplifies real equity return losses, particularly during non-expansionary periods, where the impact is twice as high on impact and exhibits greater persistence. These findings offer valuable insights for policymakers and investors.

Keywords: Equity Prices, Linear and Nonlinear Local Projections, and Economic Policy Uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

Ginn, William, The Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Stock Prices. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4534108 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4534108

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