ITFIN: A Stock-Flow Consistent Model for the Italian Economy
Government of the Italian Republic (Italy), Ministry of Economy and Finance, Department of the Treasury Working Paper No. 4
96 Pages Posted: 18 Dec 2023
Date Written: May 19, 2022
Abstract
ITFIN is a quarterly, stock-ow consistent econometric model for the Italian economy developed at Italy's Department of Treasury. The model has two distinctive features: a strong focus on the financial and banking system and a emphasis on the macroeconomic consequences of sovereign risk. We model the financial position of each institutional sector in the economy with a stock-ow consistent approach to their balance sheets. In modeling both the supply and demand for many financial instruments, their prices and rates of return are derived along with a characterization of how financial stocks impinge on agents' decisions and on the pattern of non-financial variables in the economy. This paper describes the features of ITFIN by illustrating the model structure and its main equations and identities. We also describe the properties of the model by simulating the economy's response under two counterfactual scenarios on the ECB's asset purchase programmes and after three different fiscal policy shocks.
Keywords: Stock-ow consistent models, Macroeconometric models
JEL Classification: C51, E60
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation