Changes in Racial Gaps in Retirement Security over Time

39 Pages Posted: 29 Sep 2023

See all articles by Karen E. Dynan

Karen E. Dynan

Harvard University; Peterson Institute for International Economics

Douglas W. Elmendorf

Harvard Kennedy School

Date Written: July 2023

Abstract

We explore changes over time in how financially prepared Americans are for retirement, with a focus on the relative positions of Black and White families. Our data source, the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, oversamples lower-income families, allowing for more reliable estimates for lower-income Black families compared with other household surveys. The PSID also has longitudinal information, which permits us to examine the impact of families’ past experiences on their retirement security. We find not only a large White-Black disparity in non-pension wealth, but also notable declines between 2001 and 2019, with median non-pension wealth relative to income dropping by 15 percent and 60 percent for White and Black families in their 50s, respectively. Together with marked reductions in the prevalence of defined benefit pensions, these declines imply that estimated income replacement rates for families near retirement were, on average, about 9 percentage points lower for families with White heads and about 8 percentage points lower for families with Black heads in 2019 than in 2005.

Keywords: Racial Disparities, Retirement Security, Aging, Wealth Inequality

JEL Classification: J14, J26, J32, J71

Suggested Citation

Dynan, Karen E. and Elmendorf, Douglas W., Changes in Racial Gaps in Retirement Security over Time (July 2023). Wharton Pension Research Council Working Paper No. 2023-14, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4586774 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4586774

Karen E. Dynan (Contact Author)

Harvard University ( email )

Littauer Center
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

Peterson Institute for International Economics ( email )

1750 Massachusetts Avenue, NW
Washington, DC 20036
United States

HOME PAGE: http://https://piie.com/experts/senior-research-staff/karen-dynan

Douglas W. Elmendorf

Harvard Kennedy School ( email )

79 John F. Kennedy Street
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

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