The Times Land-Wef Model: An Integrated Analysis of the Agricultural System of the Basilicata Region (Southern Italy)

23 Pages Posted: 29 Sep 2023

See all articles by senatro di leo

senatro di leo

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Carmelina cosmi

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Maria Maddalena Tortorella

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Patricia Fortes

NOVA University of Lisbon

Mauro Viccaro

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Severino Romano

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Mario Cozzi

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Abstract

he frequency of extreme events and water scarcity caused by climate change require a substantial transformation of the agricultural sector to increase its resilience and improve its contribution to climate neutrality. The proposed TIMES Land-WEF model integrates a bottom-up technology oriented approach with Nexus thinking to comprehensively represent its major components, water, energy, food and land. A new modelling approach, in which land use, the driving parameter, is linked to inputs and outputs commodities through agricultural activities, was devised to assess the effects of the Farm to Fork strategy on resource use and crop productivity in the Basilicata Region (Southern Italy) agricultural system over a 50-year time horizon (2010-2060). Results show that policy constraints influence land use patterns, reduce energy and water consumption and encourage the cultivation of more climate-friendly crops.

Keywords: Water-Energy-Food nexus, IEA-TIMES, Agriculture, Farm to Fork Strategy, Scenario Analysis

Suggested Citation

di leo, senatro and cosmi, Carmelina and Tortorella, Maria Maddalena and Fortes, Patricia and Viccaro, Mauro and Romano, Severino and Cozzi, Mario, The Times Land-Wef Model: An Integrated Analysis of the Agricultural System of the Basilicata Region (Southern Italy). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4587981 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4587981

Senatro Di leo (Contact Author)

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

Carmelina Cosmi

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

Maria Maddalena Tortorella

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

Patricia Fortes

NOVA University of Lisbon ( email )

Mauro Viccaro

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

Severino Romano

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

Mario Cozzi

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

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