A Joint Factor Model for Bonds, Stocks, and Options

62 Pages Posted: 31 Oct 2023 Last revised: 6 May 2024

See all articles by Turan G. Bali

Turan G. Bali

Georgetown University - McDonough School of Business

Heiner Beckmeyer

University of Münster

Amit Goyal

University of Lausanne; Swiss Finance Institute

Date Written: November 8, 2023

Abstract

Motivated by structural credit risk models, we propose a parsimonious reduced-form joint factor model for bonds, options, and stocks. By extending instrumented principal component analysis to accommodate heterogeneity in how firm characteristics instrument the sensitivity of bonds, options, and stocks, we find that our model is able to jointly explain the risk-return tradeoff for the three asset classes. Just five factors are sufficient to explain 17% of the total variation of bond, option, and stock returns; these five factors leave the returns of only eleven out of 219 characteristic-managed portfolios unexplained. Finally, we investigate the patterns of commonality in return predictability.

Keywords: factor model, IPCA, corporate bond, option returns

JEL Classification: G10, G11, G12

Suggested Citation

Bali, Turan G. and Beckmeyer, Heiner and Goyal, Amit, A Joint Factor Model for Bonds, Stocks, and Options (November 8, 2023). Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 23-106, Georgetown McDonough School of Business Research Paper No. 4589282, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4589282 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4589282

Turan G. Bali

Georgetown University - McDonough School of Business ( email )

3700 O Street, NW
Washington, DC 20057
United States
(202) 687-5388 (Phone)
(202) 687-4031 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: https://sites.google.com/a/georgetown.edu/turan-bali

Heiner Beckmeyer (Contact Author)

University of Münster ( email )

Schlossplatz 2
Muenster, D-48143
Germany

HOME PAGE: http://heinerbeckmeyer.com

Amit Goyal

University of Lausanne ( email )

Batiment Extranef 226
Lausanne, Vaud CH-1015
Switzerland
+41 21 692 3676 (Phone)
+41 21 692 3435 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.hec.unil.ch/agoyal/

Swiss Finance Institute ( email )

c/o University of Geneva
40, Bd du Pont-d'Arve
CH-1211 Geneva 4
Switzerland

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