Mapping the Charging Demand for Electric Vehicles in 2050 from Mobility Habits

24 Pages Posted: 17 Oct 2023

See all articles by Noémie Jeannin

Noémie Jeannin

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Alejandro Pena-Bello

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Christophe Ballif

École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL)

Nicolas Wyrsch

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Abstract

This paper proposes a method to spatially model and compare charging needs on the European scale considering local disparities in population density, distance to city centres, car ownership and mobility habits. Mobility habits are modelled across Europe in terms of distance and time frame, to elaborate scenarios of charging behaviour. The first step of the method is to calculate the density of electric vehicles with a resolution of 1 km2, according to the progressive electrification of the fleet each year between 2020 and 2050. The second step is to quantify the mobility of commuters using their driving distance to work areas and mobility statistics. The model is then applied in a case study in Switzerland to plan the public charging infrastructure required to satisfy the charging needs of the local population. The results show a stronger need for charging in cities despite lower motorisation rates and driving distances. With 50 % of commuters charging at work and 20 % at home during the workday, the demand in the evening can be reduced by 50 % in the suburban areas compared to the baseline scenario in which all commuters are charging at home in the evening. This model can be used to quantify the energy needs of commuters, plan the deployment of the charging infrastructure, or simulate the effect of policies.

Keywords: charging demand, Electric vehicles, map, mobility, GIS

Suggested Citation

Jeannin, Noémie and Pena-Bello, Alejandro and Ballif, Christophe and Wyrsch, Nicolas, Mapping the Charging Demand for Electric Vehicles in 2050 from Mobility Habits. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4604192 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4604192

Noémie Jeannin (Contact Author)

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

Alejandro Pena-Bello

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

Christophe Ballif

École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL) ( email )

Nicolas Wyrsch

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

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