The Heterogeneous Impact of Inflation on Households’ Balance Sheet

CEPR Discussion Papers DP18696

Posted: 4 Jan 2024

See all articles by Clodomiro Ferreira

Clodomiro Ferreira

Banco de España

Jose M. Leiva Murillo

BBVA Research

Galo Nuño

Banco de España; Bank for International Settlements (BIS)

Alvaro Ortiz

BBVA Research; IE Business School

Tomasa Rodrigo

BBVA Research

Sirenia Vazquez

BBVA Research

Date Written: December 18, 2023

Abstract

We study the different channels through which inflation affects wealth inequality. We identify three key channels: (i) the traditional Fisher channel through which inflation redistributes from lenders to borrowers; (ii) a nominal labour income channel through which inflation reduces the real value of sticky wages and benefits; and (iii) a relative consumption channel through which heterogeneous increases in the price of different goods affect people differently depending on their consumption baskets. We then quantify these channels for Spain in 2021 using both public surveys and a novel proprietary bank dataset that includes detailed information on clients’ assets and liabilities, credit and debit card payments, and bills. Results show that the Fisher and labour income channels are one order of magnitude larger than relative consumption. Middle-aged individuals were roughly unaffected by inflation while older ones suffered the most its consequences.

Keywords: inflation inequality, net nominal positions, nominal wage rigidities

JEL Classification: G51, D31, E31

Suggested Citation

Ferreira, Clodomiro and Leiva Murillo, Jose Miguel and Nuño, Galo and Ortiz, Alvaro and Rodrigo, Tomasa and Vazquez, Sirenia, The Heterogeneous Impact of Inflation on Households’ Balance Sheet (December 18, 2023). CEPR Discussion Papers DP18696, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4670777

Clodomiro Ferreira

Banco de España ( email )

Alcala 50
Madrid 28014
Spain

Jose Miguel Leiva Murillo

BBVA Research ( email )

2200 Post Oak Blvd
Houston, TX 77056
United States

Galo Nuño

Banco de España ( email )

Alcala 50
Madrid 28014
Spain

Bank for International Settlements (BIS)

Centralbahnplatz 2
Basel, Basel-Stadt 4002
Switzerland

IE Business School ( email )

Spain

Tomasa Rodrigo

BBVA Research ( email )

Sirenia Vazquez

BBVA Research ( email )

2200 Post Oak Blvd
Houston, TX 77056
United States

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