Mergers and Acquisitions in the Pharmaceutical and Biotech Industries

43 Pages Posted: 14 Nov 2003

See all articles by Patricia M. Danzon

Patricia M. Danzon

University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School; The Wharton School, Univ. of Pennsylvania

Andrew Joel Epstein

Yale University - School of Public Health

Sean Nicholson

Cornell University - Department of Policy Analysis & Management (PAM); National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: September 2003

Abstract

This paper examines the determinants of M&A in the pharmaceutical-biotechnology industry and the effects of mergers using propensity scores to control for endogeneity. Among large firms, we find that mergers are a response to excess capacity due to anticipated patent expirations and gaps in a company's product pipeline. For small firms, mergers are primarily an exit strategy for firms in financial trouble, as indicated by low Tobin's q, few marketed products, and low cash-sales ratios. Conversely, small firms with a relatively high Tobin's q, a large number of marketed products, and high cash/sales ratios are less likely to engage in any M&A activity.

We find that it is important to control for a firm's prior propensity to merge. Firms with relatively high propensity scores experienced slower growth of sales, employees and R&D regardless of whether they actually merged, which is consistent with mergers being a response to distress. Controlling for a firm's merger propensity, large firms that merged experienced similar changes in enterprise value, sales, employees, and R&D relative to similar firms that did not merge. Merged firms had slower growth in operating profit growth in the third year following a merger. Thus mergers may be a response to trouble, but they are not an effective solution for large firms. Neither mergers nor propensity scores have any effect on subsequent growth in enterprise value. This confirms that market valuations on average yield unbiased predictions of the effects of mergers. Small firms that merged experienced slower R&D growth relative to similar firms that did not merge, suggesting that post-merger integration may divert cash from R&D.

Suggested Citation

Danzon, Patricia M. and Danzon, Patricia M. and Epstein, Andrew Joel and Nicholson, Sean, Mergers and Acquisitions in the Pharmaceutical and Biotech Industries (September 2003). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=468301 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.468301

Patricia M. Danzon

University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School ( email )

Philadelphia, PA 19104-6367
United States

The Wharton School, Univ. of Pennsylvania ( email )

3641 Locust Walk
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United States

Andrew Joel Epstein

Yale University - School of Public Health

PO Box 208034
60 College Street
New Haven, CT 06520-8034
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203-785-6924 (Phone)

Sean Nicholson (Contact Author)

Cornell University - Department of Policy Analysis & Management (PAM) ( email )

120 Martha Van Rensselaer Hall
Ithaca, NY 14853
United States
607-254-6498 (Phone)

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

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