lancet-header

Preprints with The Lancet is part of SSRN´s First Look, a place where journals identify content of interest prior to publication. Authors have opted in at submission to The Lancet family of journals to post their preprints on Preprints with The Lancet. The usual SSRN checks and a Lancet-specific check for appropriateness and transparency have been applied. Preprints available here are not Lancet publications or necessarily under review with a Lancet journal. These preprints are early stage research papers that have not been peer-reviewed. The findings should not be used for clinical or public health decision making and should not be presented to a lay audience without highlighting that they are preliminary and have not been peer-reviewed. For more information on this collaboration, see the comments published in The Lancet about the trial period, and our decision to make this a permanent offering, or visit The Lancet´s FAQ page, and for any feedback please contact preprints@lancet.com.

Temporal Association between COVID-19 Infection and Subsequent New-Onset Dementia in Older Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

35 Pages Posted: 6 Feb 2024

See all articles by Dan Shan

Dan Shan

Columbia University

Congxiyu Wang

University of Oxford

Trevor Crawford

Lancaster University

Carol Holland

Lancaster University

More...

Abstract

Background: The relationship between COVID-19 infection and the increased likelihood of older adults developing new-onset dementia (NOD) remains elusive. This review primarily aimed to investigate the potential role of COVID-19 in leading to NOD among older adults aged 60 years and older over various time intervals.

Methods: A thorough search was performed across several databases including MEDLINE/PubMed, PsycINFO, Scopus, medRxiv, and PQDT Global for studies published in English from January 2020 to December 2023. We assessed the risk of developing NOD, using Risk Ratio (RR) for measurement. The control groups were categorized as: (i) a non-COVID cohort with other respiratory infections [control group (C1)]; and (ii) a non-COVID cohort with otherwise unspecified health statuses [control group (C2)]. Follow-up periods were divided into intervals of 3, 6, 12, and 24 months post-COVID. The study protocol was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42023491714).

Results: Our review incorporated 11 studies, encompassing 939,824 post-COVID-19 cases and 6,765,117 controls. The overall pooled analysis revealed a significant link between COVID-19 infection and an increased risk of NOD (RR = 1.58, 95% CI 1.21–2.08). In subgroup analyses, NOD risk was significantly higher in the COVID-19 group compared to C2 at 12 months post-COVID (RR = 1.84, 95% CI 1.41–2.38), but not at 3 (RR = 0.87, 95% CI 0.46–1.65) or 6 months (RR = 1.73, 95% CI 0.72–4.14). Compared to C1, the risk increase was not significantly remarkable at 3 (RR = 0.94, 95% CI 0.35–2.57), 6 (RR = 1.13, 95% CI 1.07–1.20), and 12 months (RR = 1.12, 95% CI 0.91–1.38), and overall (RR = 1.13, 95% CI 0.92–1.38). Female had a significantly higher risk of developing NOD in the COVID-positive group (RR = 1.65, 95% CI 1.53–1.78) and C2 group (RR = 1.33, 95% CI 1.22–1.44). Patients with severe COVID-19, as classified by the American Thoracic Society guidelines, were significantly much more prone to developing NOD than those with non-severe infections (RR = 17.58, 95% CI 10.48–29.49). Cognitive impairment was nearly twice as likely in COVID-19 survivors compared to those uninfected (RR = 1.93, 95% CI 1.52–2.43).

Discussion: COVID-19 infection may be linked to a higher risk of NOD in recovered old adults at the subacute and chronic stages following COVID-19 diagnosis. This risk appears to be on par with that associated with other respiratory infections.

Funding: None.

Declaration of Interest: All authors declare no financial or non-financial conflicts of interest.

Keywords: Dementia, Alzheimer's Disease, COVID‐19, Meta‐Analysis, Respiratory Infection, Review

Suggested Citation

Shan, Dan and Wang, Congxiyu and Crawford, Trevor and Holland, Carol, Temporal Association between COVID-19 Infection and Subsequent New-Onset Dementia in Older Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4716751 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4716751

Dan Shan (Contact Author)

Columbia University ( email )

3022 Broadway
New York, NY 10027
United States

Congxiyu Wang

University of Oxford ( email )

Mansfield Road
Oxford, OX1 4AU
United Kingdom

Trevor Crawford

Lancaster University ( email )

Lancaster LA1 4YX
United Kingdom

Carol Holland

Lancaster University ( email )

Lancaster LA1 4YX
United Kingdom

Click here to go to TheLancet.com

Paper statistics

Downloads
2,289
Abstract Views
18,775
PlumX Metrics