Transitional Dynamics in Two-Sector Models of Endogenous Growth

73 Pages Posted: 14 Aug 2007 Last revised: 29 Nov 2022

See all articles by Casey B. Mulligan

Casey B. Mulligan

University of Chicago; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Xavier Sala-i-Martin

Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences

Date Written: February 1992

Abstract

The steady state and transitional dynamics of two-sector models of endogenous growth are analyzed in this paper. We describe necessary conditions for endogenous growth. The conditions allow us to reduce the dynamics of the solution to a system with one state-like and two control-like variables. We analyze the determinants of the long run growth rate. We use the Time-Elimination Method to analyze the transitional dynamics of the models. We find that there are transitions in real time if the point-in-time production possibility frontier is strictly concave, which occurs, for example, if the two production functions are different or if there are decreasing point-in-time returns in any of the sectors. We also show that if the models have a transition in real time, the models are globally saddle path stable. We find that the wealth or consumption smoothing effect tends to dominate the substitution or real wage effect so that the transition from relatively low levels of physical capital is carried over through high work effort rather than high savings. We develop some empirical implications. We show that the models predict conditional convergence in that, in a cross section, the growth rate is predicted to be negatively related to initial income but only after some measure of human capital is held constant. Thus, the models are consistent with existing empirical cross country evidence.

Suggested Citation

Mulligan, Casey B. and Sala-i-Martin, Xavier, Transitional Dynamics in Two-Sector Models of Endogenous Growth (February 1992). NBER Working Paper No. w3986, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=476141

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Xavier Sala-i-Martin

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