Sticky Discount Rates

70 Pages Posted: 19 Mar 2024

See all articles by Masao Fukui

Masao Fukui

Boston University

Niels Joachim Gormsen

University of Chicago - Booth School of Business

Kilian Huber

University of Chicago - Booth School of Business

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: March 18, 2024

Abstract

We show that firms’ nominal required returns to capital (i.e., their discount rates) are sticky with respect to expected inflation. Such nominally sticky discount rates imply that increases in expected inflation directly lower firms’ real discount rates and thereby raise real investment. We analyze the macroeconomic implications of sticky discount rates using a New Keynesian model. The model naturally generates investment-consumption comovement in response to household demand shocks and higher investment in response to government spending. Sticky discount rates imply that inflation has real effects, even absent other nominal rigidities, making them a distinct source of monetary non-neutrality. At the same time, sticky discount rates make the short-term interest rate less effective at stimulating investment. Optimal monetary policy focuses on inflation expectations and permanently lowers the long-run inflation target in response to expansionary shocks, even when shocks are temporary.

JEL Classification: D22, E22, E23, E31, E32, E43, E44, E52, E58, G12, G31

Suggested Citation

Fukui, Masao and Gormsen, Niels Joachim and Huber, Kilian, Sticky Discount Rates (March 18, 2024). University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2024-33, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4763816 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4763816

Masao Fukui

Boston University ( email )

595 Commonwealth Avenue
Boston, MA 02215
United States

Niels Joachim Gormsen

University of Chicago - Booth School of Business ( email )

5807 S. Woodlawn Avenue
Chicago, IL 60637
United States

Kilian Huber (Contact Author)

University of Chicago - Booth School of Business ( email )

5807 S. Woodlawn Avenue
Chicago, IL 60637
United States

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