Project Development with Delegated Bargaining: The Role of Elevated Hurdle Rates

93 Pages Posted: 1 Apr 2024 Last revised: 15 Apr 2024

See all articles by John W. Barry

John W. Barry

Rice University

Bruce Carlin

Rice University

Alan D. Crane

Rice University - Jesse H. Jones Graduate School of Business

John R. Graham

Duke University; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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Date Written: March 2024

Abstract

During project development, costs are endogenously determined through delegated bargaining with counterparties. In surveys, nearly 80% of CFOs report using an elevated hurdle rate, the implications of which we explore in a delegated bargaining model. We show that elevated hurdle rates can convey a bargaining advantage that exceeds the opportunity cost of forgone projects, whether hurdle rate buffers arise for strategic or non-strategic reasons. Using CFO survey data, we find buffer use is negatively related to the cost of capital and ex ante bargaining power, consistent with the model, and that realized returns exhibit “beat the hurdle rate benchmark” behavior.

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Suggested Citation

Barry, John W. and Carlin, Bruce and Crane, Alan D. and Graham, John Robert, Project Development with Delegated Bargaining: The Role of Elevated Hurdle Rates (March 2024). NBER Working Paper No. w32283, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4779857

John W. Barry (Contact Author)

Rice University ( email )

6100 South Main Street
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Bruce Carlin

Rice University ( email )

6100 South Main Street
Houston, TX 77005-1892
United States

Alan D. Crane

Rice University - Jesse H. Jones Graduate School of Business ( email )

6100 South Main Street
P.O. Box 1892
Houston, TX 77005-1892
United States

John Robert Graham

Duke University ( email )

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United States
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919-660-8030 (Fax)

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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