A Geometric Approach to Asset Allocation with Investor Views

37 Pages Posted: 29 May 2024

See all articles by Alexandre Antonov

Alexandre Antonov

Abu Dhabi Investment Authority; ADIA

Koushik Balasubramanian

Abu Dhabi Investment Authority; ADIA

Alex Lipton

Hebrew University of Jerusalem; Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)

Marcos Lopez de Prado

Cornell University - Operations Research & Industrial Engineering; Abu Dhabi Investment Authority; True Positive Technologies

Date Written: March 23, 2024

Abstract

In this article, a geometric approach to incorporating investor views in portfolio construction is presented. In particular, the proposed approach utilizes the notion of generalized Wasserstein barycenter (GWB) to combine the statistical information about asset returns with investor views to obtain an updated estimate of the asset drifts and covariance, which are then fed into a mean-variance optimizer as inputs. Quantitative comparisons of the proposed geometric approach with the conventional Black-Litterman model (and a closely related variant) are presented. The proposed geometric approach provides investors with more flexibility in specifying their confidence in their views than conventional Black-Litterman model-based approaches. The geometric approach also rewards the investors more for making correct decisions than conventional BL based approaches. We provide empirical and theoretical justifications for our claim.

Keywords: Black-Litterman, Portfolio Allocation, Generalized Wasserstein Barycenter, Optimal Transport

JEL Classification: C1, C02, C6, G11

Suggested Citation

Antonov, Alexandre and Balasubramanian, Koushik and Lipton, Alex and López de Prado, Marcos and López de Prado, Marcos, A Geometric Approach to Asset Allocation with Investor Views (March 23, 2024). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4840636 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4840636

Alexandre Antonov

Abu Dhabi Investment Authority ( email )

211 Corniche Road
Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi PO Box3600
United Arab Emirates

ADIA ( email )

211 Corniche
abu Dhabi
United Arab Emirates

Koushik Balasubramanian (Contact Author)

Abu Dhabi Investment Authority ( email )

211 Corniche Road
Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi PO Box3600
United Arab Emirates

ADIA ( email )

211 Corniche
Abu Dhabi
United Arab Emirates

Alex Lipton

Hebrew University of Jerusalem ( email )

Mount Scopus
Jerusalem, Jerusalem 91905
Israel

Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) ( email )

77 Massachusetts Avenue
50 Memorial Drive
Cambridge, MA 02139-4307
United States

Marcos López de Prado

Abu Dhabi Investment Authority ( email )

211 Corniche Road
Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi PO Box3600
United Arab Emirates

HOME PAGE: http://www.adia.ae

Cornell University - Operations Research & Industrial Engineering ( email )

237 Rhodes Hall
Ithaca, NY 14853
United States

HOME PAGE: http://www.orie.cornell.edu

True Positive Technologies ( email )

NY
United States

HOME PAGE: http://www.truepositive.com

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