Advancing Personalization: How to Experiment, Learn, & Optimize
50 Pages Posted: 29 Jul 2024 Last revised: 2 Mar 2025
Date Written: February 19, 2025
Abstract
Personalization has become the heartbeat of modern marketing. The rapid expansion of individual-level data, the proliferation of personalized communication channels, and advancements in experimentation have fundamentally reshaped how firms tailor their marketing strategies. Furthermore, causal inference and machine learning enable companies to understand how the same marketing action can impact the choices of individual customers differently. This article provides an academic overview of these developments. We formalize personalization as a causal inference problem embedded in the test and learn framework. We review key challenges and solutions that arise when personalization is approached through causal inference, including data limitations, treatment effect heterogeneity, policy evaluation, and ethical considerations. Finally, we identify emerging research trends stemming from new methodologies, such as generic and double machine learning, direct policy learning, foundation models, and generative AI.
Keywords: Personalization, Targeting, Experiments, Policy Design
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Lemmens, Aurélie and Roos, Jason M.T. and Gabel, Sebastian and Ascarza, Eva and Bruno, Hernan and Gordon, Brett R. and Israeli, Ayelet and Feit, Elea McDonnell and Mela, Carl F. and Netzer, Oded, Advancing Personalization: How to Experiment, Learn, & Optimize (February 19, 2025). Columbia Business School Research Paper No. 4878819, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4878819
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