Advancing Personalization: How to Experiment, Learn, & Optimize

50 Pages Posted: 29 Jul 2024 Last revised: 2 Mar 2025

See all articles by Aurelie Lemmens

Aurelie Lemmens

Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam

Jason M.T. Roos

Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Rotterdam School of Management (RSM); Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM)

Sebastian Gabel

Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam

Eva Ascarza

Harvard Business School

Hernan Bruno

University of Cologne - Faculty of Management, Economics and Social Sciences

Brett R. Gordon

Northwestern University - Kellogg School of Management

Ayelet Israeli

Harvard Business School - Marketing Unit

Elea McDonnell Feit

Drexel University - Department of Marketing

Carl F. Mela

Duke University - Fuqua School of Business

Oded Netzer

Columbia University - Columbia Business School, Marketing

Date Written: February 19, 2025

Abstract

Personalization has become the heartbeat of modern marketing. The rapid expansion of individual-level data, the proliferation of personalized communication channels, and advancements in experimentation have fundamentally reshaped how firms tailor their marketing strategies. Furthermore, causal inference and machine learning enable companies to understand how the same marketing action can impact the choices of individual customers differently. This article provides an academic overview of these developments. We formalize personalization as a causal inference problem embedded in the test and learn framework. We review key challenges and solutions that arise when personalization is approached through causal inference, including data limitations, treatment effect heterogeneity, policy evaluation, and ethical considerations. Finally, we identify emerging research trends stemming from new methodologies, such as generic and double machine learning, direct policy learning, foundation models, and generative AI.

Keywords: Personalization, Targeting, Experiments, Policy Design

Suggested Citation

Lemmens, Aurélie and Roos, Jason M.T. and Gabel, Sebastian and Ascarza, Eva and Bruno, Hernan and Gordon, Brett R. and Israeli, Ayelet and Feit, Elea McDonnell and Mela, Carl F. and Netzer, Oded, Advancing Personalization: How to Experiment, Learn, & Optimize (February 19, 2025). Columbia Business School Research Paper No. 4878819, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4878819

Aurélie Lemmens

Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam ( email )

3000 DR Rotterdam
Netherlands

Jason M.T. Roos

Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Rotterdam School of Management (RSM) ( email )

P.O. Box 1738
3000 DR Rotterdam
Netherlands
+31 (0)10 408 25 27 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://www.jasonmtroos.com

Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM)

P.O. Box 1738
3000 DR Rotterdam
Netherlands

Sebastian Gabel (Contact Author)

Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam ( email )

Netherlands

HOME PAGE: http://https://www.eur.nl/en/people/sebastian-gabel

Eva Ascarza

Harvard Business School ( email )

Soldiers Field
Boston, MA 02163
United States

HOME PAGE: http://evaascarza.com

Hernan Bruno

University of Cologne - Faculty of Management, Economics and Social Sciences ( email )

Universitätstraße 91
Cologne, D-50931
Germany

Brett R. Gordon

Northwestern University - Kellogg School of Management ( email )

2211 Campus Drive
Evanston, IL 60208
United States

Ayelet Israeli

Harvard Business School - Marketing Unit ( email )

Soldiers Field
Boston, MA 02163
United States

Elea McDonnell Feit

Drexel University - Department of Marketing ( email )

United States

Carl F. Mela

Duke University - Fuqua School of Business ( email )

Box 90120
Durham, NC 27708-0120
United States
919-660-7767 (Phone)

Oded Netzer

Columbia University - Columbia Business School, Marketing ( email )

New York, NY 10027
United States

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