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Analysis of Regional Reallocation of Zero-Carbon Ammonia Production in China with Carbon Neutrality Targets

23 Pages Posted: 24 Jul 2024 Publication Status: Published

See all articles by Pianpian Xiang

Pianpian Xiang

Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences

Jiachen Wang

Tsinghua University

Kejun Jiang

Energy Research Institute of NDRC (ERI)

Chenmin He

Zhejiang University of Technology

Weiyi Jiang

Yonsei University

Linqing Guo

Ministry of Ecology and Environment

Yujie Jiao

Beijing University of Technology

Sha Chen

Beijing University of Technology

Abstract

Analyzing the cost viability of the zero-carbon transition of the national ammonia industry from the regional perspective requires consideration of the availability of local coal, natural gas, and solar resources, as well as inter-regional cooperation, but unfortunately, remain far from complete. In this study, we employed the IPAC-technology model to construct a sub-national ammonia industry economic technological assessment model and adopted transportation costs of commodities to link ammonia origins directly. Our results showed that carbon prices contributed appreciably more than electrolysis and nuclear technologies and lead to zero carbon production for all ammonia. Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, and the Northwestern District were electrolysis technology priority regions; Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region and Shandong were nuclear technology regions; southern China, Henan, and Shanxi would phase out from production; the triangle of central China, three northeastern provinces, Yangtze River Delta, and Southwest China were offered more options for development. It is worth noting that CO2 emissions from ammonia production in Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, and the triangle of central China would increase shortly which would exert pressure on local carbon reduction goals, while the national CO2 emissions from ammonia sector declined.

Keywords: regional reallocation, ammonia industry, zero-carbon hydrogen, IPAC-technology, interregional linkages

Suggested Citation

Xiang, Pianpian and Wang, Jiachen and Jiang, Kejun and He, Chenmin and Jiang, Weiyi and Guo, Linqing and Jiao, Yujie and Chen, Sha, Analysis of Regional Reallocation of Zero-Carbon Ammonia Production in China with Carbon Neutrality Targets. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4893892 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4893892

Pianpian Xiang (Contact Author)

Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences ( email )

No.15, Zhongguancun Beiyitiao, Haidian District, B
Beijing, 100000
China

Jiachen Wang

Tsinghua University ( email )

Beijing, 100084
China

Kejun Jiang

Energy Research Institute of NDRC (ERI) ( email )

China

Chenmin He

Zhejiang University of Technology ( email )

China

Weiyi Jiang

Yonsei University ( email )

Seoul
Korea, Republic of (South Korea)

Linqing Guo

Ministry of Ecology and Environment ( email )

Yujie Jiao

Beijing University of Technology ( email )

Sha Chen

Beijing University of Technology ( email )

100 Ping Le Yuan
Chaoyang District
Beijing, 100020
China

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