Co-Star-Shaped Expected Utility

26 Pages Posted: 8 Aug 2024

See all articles by Erio Castagnoli

Erio Castagnoli

Università Bocconi

Enrico Diecidue

INSEAD – Decision Sciences

Gino Favero

Università di Parma

Date Written: July 16, 2024

Abstract

We present an axiomatic foundation for Co-Star-Shaped Expected Utility, a general model that includes several functionals representing preferences under ambiguity. The model is based on a new axiom, Aversion to Certainty Randomization, that relaxes the uncertainty aversion axiom. Intuitively, our new axiom states that a decision maker may prefer to mix an act rather than its certainty equivalent with the null consequence (i.e., the consequence that leaves everything unchanged); the reason is that, although the act and the sure consequence are indifferent, any certainty gets lost when they are mixed with the null consequence. We show that our foundation is intuitive, tractable, and empirically testable.

Keywords: Ambiguity, Weak independence, Uncertainty aversion, Aversion to Certainty Randomization, Star-shaped

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JEL Classification: D81

Suggested Citation

Castagnoli, Erio and Diecidue, Enrico and Favero, Gino, Co-Star-Shaped Expected Utility (July 16, 2024). INSEAD Working Paper No. 2024/49/DSC, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4904142 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4904142

Erio Castagnoli

Università Bocconi ( email )

Enrico Diecidue (Contact Author)

INSEAD – Decision Sciences ( email )

France

Gino Favero

Università di Parma ( email )

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