Discretionary Announcement Timing and Stock Returns
85 Pages Posted: 23 Sep 2024
Date Written: August 16, 2024
Abstract
Discretionary announcement timing generates high conditional risk premia of stock returns and a characteristic pattern of negative drifts followed by positive jumps. Average announcement returns are much larger than unconditional risk premia. Empirical use of the CAPM is likely to result in downward biased risk premium estimates. The effects are magnified when there are multiple firms that exercise discretion over the timing of correlated announcements. We present evidence that firms time earnings announcements in a manner consistent with our model.
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Back, Kerry and Carlin, Bruce and Kazempour, Seyed Mohammad and Xie, Chloe and Xie, Chloe, Discretionary Announcement Timing and Stock Returns (August 16, 2024). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4933885 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4933885
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