Discretionary Announcement Timing and Stock Returns 

85 Pages Posted: 23 Sep 2024

See all articles by Kerry Back

Kerry Back

Rice University - Jesse H. Jones Graduate School of Business

Bruce Carlin

Rice University

Seyed Mohammad Kazempour

Louisiana State University

Chloe Xie

Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) Sloan School of Management; Stanford University, Graduate School of Business, Students

Date Written: August 16, 2024

Abstract

Discretionary announcement timing generates high conditional risk premia of stock returns and a characteristic pattern of negative drifts followed by positive jumps. Average announcement returns are much larger than unconditional risk premia. Empirical use of the CAPM is likely to result in downward biased risk premium estimates. The effects are magnified when there are multiple firms that exercise discretion over the timing of correlated announcements. We present evidence that firms time earnings announcements in a manner consistent with our model. 

Suggested Citation

Back, Kerry and Carlin, Bruce and Kazempour, Seyed Mohammad and Xie, Chloe and Xie, Chloe, Discretionary Announcement Timing and Stock Returns  (August 16, 2024). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4933885 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4933885

Kerry Back (Contact Author)

Rice University - Jesse H. Jones Graduate School of Business ( email )

6100 South Main Street
P.O. Box 1892
Houston, TX 77005-1892
United States

Bruce Carlin

Rice University ( email )

6100 South Main Street
Houston, TX 77005-1892
United States

Seyed Mohammad Kazempour

Louisiana State University ( email )

Baton Rouge, LA 70803-6308
United States

Chloe Xie

Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) Sloan School of Management ( email )

77 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02139-4307
United States

Stanford University, Graduate School of Business, Students ( email )

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