Is Nifty Going Up Too Quickly? The Case of the Indian Stock Bubble

7 Pages Posted: 26 Sep 2024

See all articles by Robert A. Jarrow

Robert A. Jarrow

Cornell University - Samuel Curtis Johnson Graduate School of Management

Soon Hyeok Choi

Rochester Institute of Technology (RIT) - Saunders College of Business

Date Written: September 23, 2024

Abstract

The Indian equity benchmark index, Nifty, hit a record high over twenty times in 2024. Using a new statistical methodology generated by Choi and Jarrow 2024, we investigate the presence of asset price bubbles in the Nifty 100 over two time periods: March 2022 - April 2023 and June 2023 - September 2024. We find no bubble in the first period and the probability of a price bubble more than 91% in the second period.

Keywords: Asset Price Bubbles, Local Martingale, Indian Stock Market, NIFTY 100 index

Suggested Citation

Jarrow, Robert A. and Choi, Soon Hyeok, Is Nifty Going Up Too Quickly? The Case of the Indian Stock Bubble (September 23, 2024). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4968535 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4968535

Robert A. Jarrow (Contact Author)

Cornell University - Samuel Curtis Johnson Graduate School of Management ( email )

Department of Finance
Ithaca, NY 14853
United States
607-255-4729 (Phone)
607-254-4590 (Fax)

Soon Hyeok Choi

Rochester Institute of Technology (RIT) - Saunders College of Business ( email )

105 Lomb Memorial Dr.
Rochester, NY 14623
United States

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