Meetings and Exposure Before an Arranged Marriage: A Probabilistic Analysis

12 Pages Posted: 13 Feb 2004

See all articles by Amitrajeet A. Batabyal

Amitrajeet A. Batabyal

Rochester Institute of Technology (RIT) - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: February 2004

Abstract

It is now common for parents and relatives of an individual seeking to have an arranged marriage to set up one or more meetings between this individual and prospective spouses. As a result of these meetings, prospective spouses get exposed to this marrying individual. Even though this exposure level has a significant bearing on the eventual likelihood of marriage, as best as we can tell, the economics literature has paid no attention to the probabilistic attributes of meetings and the resultant level of exposure. As such, this note has three objectives. First, we analyze a simple stochastic model that focuses on the links between the trinity of meetings, exposure levels, and an arranged marriage. Next, we derive the conditional density function of the exposure level random variable under two assumptions about the eventual likelihood of marriage. Finally, we comment on an interesting property of a specific ratio of densities that is related to the above mentioned trinity.

Keywords: Arranged Marriage, Exposure, Meetings, Uncertainty

JEL Classification: J12, D81

Suggested Citation

Batabyal, Amitrajeet A., Meetings and Exposure Before an Arranged Marriage: A Probabilistic Analysis (February 2004). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=498702 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.498702

Amitrajeet A. Batabyal (Contact Author)

Rochester Institute of Technology (RIT) - Department of Economics ( email )

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