A Taxonomy of Systemic Risks from General-Purpose AI

34 Pages Posted: 13 Jan 2025

See all articles by Risto Uuk

Risto Uuk

Future of Life Institute; KU Leuven

Carlos Ignacio Gutierrez

Arizona State University (ASU) - Sandra Day O'Connor College of Law; RAND Corporation, Pardee RAND Graduate School, Students; Future of Life Institute

Daniel Guppy

University of Otago

Lode Lauwaert

KU Leuven

Atoosa Kasirzadeh

Carnegie Mellon University

Lucia Velasco

Maastricht University - School of Business and Economics; Oxford Martin School

Peter Slattery

MIT FutureTech; Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)

Carina Prunkl

Utrecht University

Date Written: November 22, 2024

Abstract

Through a systematic review of academic literature, we propose a taxonomy of systemic risks associated with artificial intelligence (AI), in particular general-purpose AI. Following the EU AI Act's definition, we consider systemic risks as large-scale threats that can affect entire societies or economies. Starting with an initial pool of 1,781 documents, we analyzed 86 selected papers to identify 13 categories of systemic risks and 50 contributing sources. Our findings reveal a complex landscape of potential threats, ranging from environmental harm and structural discrimination to governance failures and loss of control. Key sources of systemic risk emerge from knowledge gaps, challenges in recognizing harm, and the unpredictable trajectory of AI development. The taxonomy provides a snapshot of current academic literature on systemic risks. This paper contributes to AI safety research by providing a structured groundwork for understanding and addressing the potential large-scale negative societal impacts of general-purpose AI. The taxonomy can inform policymakers in risk prioritization and regulatory development.

Keywords: systemic risks, general-purpose AI, systematic review, taxonomy

JEL Classification: O33, D80, K20, O32

Suggested Citation

Uuk, Risto and Gutierrez, Carlos Ignacio and Gutierrez, Carlos Ignacio and Guppy, Daniel and Lauwaert, Lode and Kasirzadeh, Atoosa and Velasco, Lucia and Slattery, Peter and Prunkl, Carina, A Taxonomy of Systemic Risks from General-Purpose AI (November 22, 2024). RAND Working Paper Series Forthcoming, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5030173 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5030173

Risto Uuk (Contact Author)

Future of Life Institute ( email )

KU Leuven ( email )

Oude Markt 13
Leuven, Vlaams-Brabant 3000
Belgium

Carlos Ignacio Gutierrez

Arizona State University (ASU) - Sandra Day O'Connor College of Law ( email )

Box 877906
Tempe, AZ 85287-7906
United States

HOME PAGE: http://https://www.linkedin.com/in/carlosig/

RAND Corporation, Pardee RAND Graduate School, Students ( email )

1776 Main Street
Santa Monica, CA 90401
United States

Future of Life Institute ( email )

United States

Daniel Guppy

University of Otago

P.O. Box 56
Dunedin, Otago 9010
New Zealand

Lode Lauwaert

KU Leuven ( email )

Atoosa Kasirzadeh

Carnegie Mellon University ( email )

Pittsburgh, PA 15213-3890
United States

Lucia Velasco

Maastricht University - School of Business and Economics ( email )

Netherlands

Oxford Martin School ( email )

Peter Slattery

MIT FutureTech ( email )

Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) ( email )

77 Massachusetts Avenue
50 Memorial Drive
Cambridge, MA 02139-4307
United States

Carina Prunkl

Utrecht University

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