The Long-Run and Short-Run Multipliers of Fiscal Policy in the Chinese Economy

Abstract

To examine the long-run and short-run multipliers of fiscal policy in China, simple models with some basic characteristics of the Chinese economy are developed and then estimated using cointegration and error correction approaches. Empirical results confirm some similarities between the Chinese economy and well-developed market economies, but also uncover the unique features that China possesses, in terms of the multipliers of permanent and temporary changes in government spending, Okun's coefficient, and the short-run adjustment mechanism.