Deep Learning Interpretability for Rough Volatility

28 Pages Posted: 4 Dec 2024

See all articles by Bo Yuan

Bo Yuan

University of Cambridge - Cambridge Judge Business School

Damiano Brigo

Imperial College London - Department of Mathematics

Antoine (Jack) Jacquier

Imperial College London; The Alan Turing Institute

Nicola Pede

Imperial College London - Department of Mathematics

Date Written: November 28, 2024

Abstract

Deep learning methods have become a widespread toolbox for pricing and calibration of financial models. While they often provide new directions and research results, their 'black box' nature also results in a lack of interpretability. We provide a detailed interpretability analysis of these methods in the context of rough volatility-a new class of volatility models for Equity and FX markets. Our work sheds light on the neural network learned inverse map between the rough volatility model parameters, seen as mathematical model inputs and network outputs, and the resulting implied volatility across strikes and maturities, seen as mathematical model outputs and network inputs. This contributes to building a solid framework for a safer use of neural networks in this context and in quantitative finance more generally.

Keywords: rough volatility, deep learning, interpretability, Shapley values, surrogate models, option pricing

JEL Classification: C45, C63, G13

Suggested Citation

Yuan, Bo and Brigo, Damiano and Jacquier, Antoine and Pede, Nicola, Deep Learning Interpretability for Rough Volatility (November 28, 2024). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5037806 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5037806

Bo Yuan

University of Cambridge - Cambridge Judge Business School ( email )

Trumpington St.
Cambridge, CB21AG
United Kingdom

Damiano Brigo (Contact Author)

Imperial College London - Department of Mathematics ( email )

South Kensington Campus
London SW7 2AZ, SW7 2AZ
United Kingdom

HOME PAGE: http://www.imperial.ac.uk/people/damiano.brigo

Antoine Jacquier

Imperial College London ( email )

South Kensington Campus
London SW7 2AZ, SW7 2AZ
United Kingdom

HOME PAGE: http://wwwf.imperial.ac.uk/~ajacquie/

The Alan Turing Institute ( email )

British Library, 96 Euston Road
96 Euston Road
London, NW12DB
United Kingdom

Nicola Pede

Imperial College London - Department of Mathematics ( email )

South Kensington Campus
Imperial College
LONDON, SW7 2AZ
United Kingdom

Do you have a job opening that you would like to promote on SSRN?

Paper statistics

Downloads
267
Abstract Views
988
Rank
249,799
PlumX Metrics