Climate and the Destination Choice of German Tourists

40 Pages Posted: 24 Mar 2004

See all articles by Jacqueline M. Hamilton

Jacqueline M. Hamilton

Forschungsstelle nachhaltige Umweltentwicklung, ZMK, Hamburg University

Date Written: February 2004

Abstract

The attractiveness of a tourist destination is partly dependent on its environmental and climatic resource base. Climate change can be expected to have an effect on this attractiveness and will subsequently alter patterns of demand. An application of the pooled travel cost model using survey data on the destination choices of German tourists is presented in this study. Data on the climate, beach length and indicators of cultural, natural resource and economic attractiveness of the destination countries are used in the regression analysis. Optimal climate values were calculated and a climate index was used to examine the change in climatic attractiveness under an arbitrary scenario of climate change. It was found that, for European countries during the summer months, there would be an increase in attractiveness. However, the northern European countries become relatively more attractive closing the gap on the currently popular southern European countries.

Keywords: Tourism demand, Climate change, Travel cost model

JEL Classification: L83, Q26, Q54

Suggested Citation

Hamilton, Jacqueline M., Climate and the Destination Choice of German Tourists (February 2004). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=504362 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.504362

Jacqueline M. Hamilton (Contact Author)

Forschungsstelle nachhaltige Umweltentwicklung, ZMK, Hamburg University ( email )

Von-Melle-Park 5
20146 Hamburg
Germany
+49 40 42838 7047 (Phone)
+49 40 42838 7009 (Fax)

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